Forest > Trees

I’ve been reading a lot lately about important issues like the imminent repeal of the ACA, the dismantling of Medicare, the reconfig of Social Security, the relentless parading of extremist potentials for cabinet positions… but that’s all noise.  The real problem with the Trump transition is that the string of events over the past few weeks, while we were focused on this or that, has showed us his expertise in distraction.

Let me be clear:  Trump is an idiot.  He’s unread, anti-intellectual, and uncouth.  But there is one area where he is a master:  Simultaneously funneling all the attention in the room to himself, and not allowing you a straight line vision to what he’s really doing.  I’m certain that it’s the cornerstone of his “success” in business, and he took that into the political realm during this election cycle.  But at its core it’s a scam – Trump’s entire life and career has been a giant shell game.  A street hustler is about to become our 45th president.

Hustlers are primarily out for themselves.  Their livelihood depends on the ability to pull one over on their mark.  They’re known by other names – con men, grifters, swindlers… but the thing that sets Trump apart from the minor characters of the past is the fact that he ran for president.  And enough marks chose the empty shell.

While we were busy looking over there,  Trump’s been working on a cabinet that will significantly alter our country’s relationship with the world.  If you’ve been paying attention, you know that no less than three retired generals have been offered major roles within the Trump administration:  John F. Kelly as Secretary of Homeland Security, James “Mad Dog” Mattis as Defense Secretary, and, perhaps most concerning, Michael Flynn as White House National Security Adviser (Confirmation not required by congress).

This military influence will no doubt affect the Trump administration in a lot of negative ways, due to the fact that Trump is an idiot.  But what’s more concerning to me is the combination of this military influence and his most likely choice for Secretary of State, the ultimate shell game:  while you were worried about the repeal of Obamacare, let me present Rex Tillerson, CEO of ExxonMobil.  Yeah.  Exxon.  As in gas stations, etc. Did you know that ExxonMobile made $16.2 billion IN PROFIT last year?  And that was in a low price-per-barrel environment.

Put that all together – heavy military presence in the cabinet alongside an oil and gas capitalist as our top diplomat – not just a corporatist, but an environment raping opportunist – in charge of our relationships with other countries.  A Secretary of State who just happens to have interests in the most profitable commodity in the world.  Ever wonder why it’s a bad thing when oil prices drop?  We have a tendency to get excited when we hear that, because it means that our bill at the gas pump will be lower.  But our lower gas prices are bad for Big Oil and the folks who invest in it.  And apparently, now it’s bad for the presidential administration.

I wonder what possibly could happen.  No worries though… I’m sure most of us will be looking the other way when it does.

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1.157

The United States owes foreign nations a lot of money.  For example, we owe China $1.157 trillion.  That’s a shit ton of money.  For visual purposes, imagine that your mortgage is $1,157 a month.  The US owes China $1,157,000,000,000.  According to The Balance, that’s about 30% of our foreign debt.

The reason foreign countries are so comfortable buying US debt is due to that “full faith and credit” thing that a) insures that we will always pay our obligations, and b) almost got shot to hell during the 2013 government shitstorm shutdown, which saw our credit rating drop for the first time in fucking ever.  See, normal countries aren’t really concerned that we pay back the principal.  They want that annual interest nut.  That feeds into their economy – that’s income in their books.

But the more debt a single country holds, the more leverage they have.  For example, China.  And the fact that they hold 30% of our foreign debt.  China is not a “normal” country when it comes to the reasons for holding US debt.  There are many arguments on the interweb about the main reason China holds so much US debt – some folks think it’s simply a way to get that sweet, sweet interest income that a huge economy needs to help fill the gaps that communism creates.  Others think that it’s to eventually devalue the US dollar and replace it with the yuan as the global standard.  I tend to agree with the second camp, but I am also a paranoid conspiracy theorist, so I like to take it a step further:  China owns so much of our debt because it makes them feel like they own us. Think about it: If they get pissed enough at us that they want to destabilize us, or worse yet, ruin us, they can call due our debt. I’m not a government employee, so I don’t know the conditions that go along with our selling of debt, so on paper China and other countries may not be allowed to call in our obligations all at once. But if something unacceptable happened, perhaps they’d be inclined to break the rules.

Maybe the unacceptable is breaking the “one China” rule that’s been in place for almost 40 years.  See, for a long time, the US did not see the People’s Republic of China (“China”) as a legitimate government.  We preferred to deal with the more moderate island called the Republic of China (“Taiwan”) and leave the big commies alone.  Nixon’s 1972 China visit with Chairman Mao softened that stance, and by 1979, we had, diplomatically, “unified” China as a combo plate of Taiwan and the mainland PRC.

Why is this important?  Because diplomatic protocol has dictated that US leaders communicate directly with Chinese officials for nearly four decades – effectively ignoring the leaders of Taiwan to appease the egos of the mainland Chinese regime.  Over the course of many decades and presidential administrations, this has been an area where great caution has been exercised.

Until this past week, when president-elect Dipshit called the president of Taiwan, who of course was more than happy to speak with him.  So what happened? Bowels were loosed all over DC (people shit themselves) as folks scrambled to figure out if we were at the brink of World War III, or if their weekends were just fucked.

This wasn’t some one-tooth Twitter follower telling you how Melanoma’s going to be the hottest First Lady ever, you dumb fuck.  This is real.

China’s already sent a warning to the Orange Shitgibbon, who’s not even fucking president yet.  Let’s say that again:  a guy who’s not even president for another (oh my God) seven weeks has already pissed off a country that holds us by the testicles.  This is not good, it’s not normal, and it’s not acceptable.

And it’s only the start.

A Month In…Where Are We Now?

November 27, 2016

It’s been nearly a month since the election, and I’m still struggling with the outcome.  Nearly every day some new alarming piece of information comes to light, and we are left to figure out what it means and how it will impact our future.  I am not one of those who is espousing the #NotMyPresident mantra; just as I felt when President Obama was elected and folks complained and protested and lamented, I believe that embittered divisiveness is counterproductive for all of us.  Yes, my friends, there was protesting and loud lamentation when the votes were tallied for Obama, much as many Trump supporters would love to ignore. And yes, I understand why people get behind the #NotMyPresident movement; it’s just that I think the deed is done, and what must be done now is to be watchful and proactive of the potential ramifications, rather than choose not to acknowledge the reality in which we find ourselves.

That reality is this:

We have the appointment of Steve Bannon, a man considered by many to have close ties to racist White Supremacist groups, to Chief Strategist.  We have the appointment of Betsy DeVos, wealthy private school product with no experience or connection to public education to Secretary of Education. Jeff Sessions, known for his racist and anti-LGBT stances, has been appointed Attorney General, causing heightened concern for civil liberties moving forward.  There is a host of other recently appointed and rumored appointees that draw from one of two categories—long-time career politicians that fly in the face of Trump’s “Drain the Swamp” rallying cry, and wealthy political donors and lobbyists with approximately the same amount of experience Trump himself possesses in the political arena.  Now don’t get me wrong; I am frankly relieved to hear that there will be someone with the keys to the playground who’s actually been there before, but it would be a whole lot less concerning if those being invited back to the playground weren’t all part of the same gang that tried to run everyone else out to begin with.

What is most striking about all of these appointments of the good old boys is that Trump supporters, many of whom voted for him on the promise of new ideas and new voices in government, haven’t found themselves betrayed by these appointments.  Similarly, Trump has already backtracked, before even taking office, on his plans to charge Hillary for presumed crimes, his pledge to completely repeal Obamacare, and his vision of the Wall.  Like many, many politicians before him, he has said whatever he needed to say in order to get himself elected, and people fell for the act.

The reality—our reality—is that the populace has perhaps the most important responsibility we’ve ever had.  We must hope, though it seems counterintuitive in this case, for the success of our President-elect, because that is the only way we succeed.  What success looks like for America, for the people, might be much different than what it looks like for a wealthy businessman.  We need to teach our inexperienced leader and his cabinet what we believe success looks like; as in any relationship, we must teach them how we expect to be treated and accept nothing less.  As the fringes have moved center and to the primary seats at the table, we have to make sure we maintain the voices of all, loudly and persistently, especially those who seemingly have been uninvited to the feast.  It would be easy to, with time, forget that the dinner party is going on in our absence, but we simply cannot allow those at the feast to forget that the pantry belongs to us all.

–Donna Lutjens